The political landscape in the Haitian legislature, in terms of power distribution and concentration, is looking dull on President Martelly’s side of the spectrum. With no political weight in the Parliament to begin with, it appears very impossible for him to get his choice for Prime Minister ratified -unless he accepts to compromise to pull a majority in the Parliament.
So like President Obama did after he lost the House of Representatives to the Republicans last November, President Martelly must compromise. That’s the political reality of the moment. Now that we know he must compromise, the issue is how he should compromise.
It has been noise in many political circles on the ground in Haiti that President Martelly may be opting for Bellerive to stay as Prime Minister. I strongly oppose to such idea. I hope it is nothing but a rumor, for it will not play well politically for the president.
Keeping Bellerive in his function as Prime Minister is political suicide for Martelly. The president should remember that he campaigned and got elected on the promise to break ties with the corruptive and failed Preval-Bellerive administration.
There is a reason why the people did not elect Preval’s protégé –Jude Celestin. The reason is simple: they did not want a continuity of the failure of the Preval-Bellerive administration. Let us not fool ourselves! Bellerive and Preval are the two sides of the same coin.
The people have already rejected Bellerive and his acolytes, why recycling them? Imagine what would have happened to Obama if the US had the same system of government as Haiti and he had decided to choose Dick Cheney as his Prime Minister. It would have been political suicide for him, would it have not?
President Martelly, as politically weak as he is now, needs to be very careful to not lose his political base –his only political strength. His political base is all that he has to live and die for. Losing that will render him very vulnerable to sustain the political storms he will have to endure during his term in office. So I am urging him to be very careful.
We are experiencing Bellerive fatigue; therefore, President Martelly should look the other way.
It is good for the sake of political psychology to have a fresh face in the Prime Minister position, explaining the reason why the Bellerive option has got to be off the table. Such will play in the president’s political best interest in terms of bragging points.
Recycling Bellerive would be like a political capitulation for the president, who had made it clear many times that Bellerive is a bad card -the continuity of the failure of the previous administration. For him to turn around and recycle Bellerive, that will be very bad for him politically speaking. So he must not go with that “bouyon rechofe.”
If I were to advise him, I would honestly convince him to go with Jean Henry Ceant, the former presidential candidate, for the Prime Minister position -just for the sake of compromise.
The question you may be asking is, why Jean Henry Ceant?
Politically speaking, Ceant, whom many see as a disguised Lavalas sympathizer, seems to be a guy who could inspire confidence and trust on both sides of the political fence. He is what you would call a political centrist with a high degree of political commonsense and cleverness. Do you sense what that means? It means that his choice could appeal to a strong majority in the Parliament, which is eminently necessary for him to be ratified.
Furthermore, since he was a presidential candidate in the last contest, I do not think there could be issues with his record -proof of nationality, proof of residency, criminal background, tax document, etc… as required by the Constitution. Those should have already been cleared by the officers of the Provisory Electoral Council (PEC).
I would definitely urge the president to push the Ceant card hard to pass the congressional gridlock. Ceant seems to be a consensus builder. If/when ratified, he will have the mandate to join head with the president to build a hybrid government to represent all the sectors of the nation’s political life in an effort to implement the president’s vision for the country.
This hybrid government will have a clear agenda to execute in a realistic time frame. It will have to:
1. work along with the Interim Commission for the Reconstruction of Haiti (ICRH) to take care of the housing projects for the victims of the earthquake;
2. bring the rampant insecurity under control;
3. revamp our economy by encouraging and/or attracting private investments, developing our sector of tourism, promoting our national production, reforming our agriculture, etc…
Finally, the political conjuncture in Haiti is called for compromise to solve the political stalemate (between the executive and the legislative) the country has been in since the inauguration of President Martelly, who does not have any political leverage do get anything done in the Parliament. President Martelly must compromise, but not compromise at any cost, making the idea of recycling Bellerive unacceptable and unpalatable. So the choice of a centrist in the caliber of former presidential candidate Jean Henry Ceant for the Prime Minister job -to build a consensus and inspire trust and confidence on both sides of the political spectrum -makes plenty of political sense. In all earnest, we are Bellerive fatigued. NO MORE BELLERIVE!!!
I read your blog and I totally agree with you. The choice of Jean Henry CEant would pass the parliament without any problem. AS you noted in there, he is appealing to both sides. Great blog man
I will also add that if he doesn’t want Ceant, he should find someone who fits his profile to nominate as Prime minister.
“Now that we know he must compromise, the issue is how he should compromise.”
Ah! epa lap pedi ni krab ni sak! In doing politics one needs to know 2 words:COMPROMISE & PRUDENCE!
Its interesting how he fell for the trap! Since the beginning the suggestion was on Bellerive due to obvious reason that we all knew, however the president n his team or “old friends” claiming disagreements seems to either have forgotten or …was just playing along by acting “hard to get” as if he had no choice, but was now put on the spot… tchiups! If that’s not the case, then this act by the president shows us that he really never had a plan of action for the rebuilding of the country in all aspects or that his idea of “change” was just a momentum speech “pou byen pale”… You can not tell me after those “cats and mouse” nominations c sou Bellerive ou vinn ateri,…
Is the president telling us that he could not find anyone with a solid political experience, knowledge and non-partisan background that can be used as a bridge to unite both camps in order for the job to begin? come on now!!
Great post! I agree with your assessment of the political landscape. What makes you so sure that Ceant will get through? It seems like like the parliament have a secret agreement that the only option is for Bellerive to remain as Prime Minister.
Another candidate should be Baker.
Bon Ki sa yap analize la a? Haiti was in fact into some sort of serious debts issue for a very long times just before the Earthquake. Unfortunately, after the 1/12/2010 Quake was over, CNN had exposed all the facts in the public in regard of Haiti situation. Reason why it was so important to paid serious attention toward the will of the Haitian people. The Quake was combined with huge Haiti’s debts which had put the Island Nation into some sort of crumble semi occupation, due to UN Charter regulation purposes. Because the condition of their mental shock among many Haitians [Brots]} and [Sists]} that had led Mr. Martelly become the 56th Haitians envoy President in order to help UN slow down the Majority that were reflected 67% which are not incline in order to comprehended what was the real deal. Now, throughout the process, we have had seeing huge strange things occurred as a result of the Haiti historical, but most of all the 7.0 magnitude on Richter Scale, which was a moderate Quake, but, it was consistent.
The result of that itself had produced an astronomical outcome examples; humans desperation, children suffered, women , young boy, females had been consistently raps by the Haitian brothers and others from the UN envoys who may took serious advantage toward their circumstances, and the deceases emerged , political trauma, finally Human impaired happened to the deviants form the prior Haitians norms of 60s and 70s. This process had took many approached in spite of Scientists, Lawyer, Engineers, Business people, People famous, you can name it that were under one single process. (HUMPM) Haitians Under the Mushroom Project Management in order to achieve human adaptation under the stream circumstance, based on their circumstances, into that circumstantial by itself.
The World ordered have had been intervened into the process and continue processing it very slow in order to achieve what so called ” Head cool.” within a strategic that is beyond the understanding Haitians majority, if I am not mistaking. The process had effected the entire Haitian population at some point. But, some of them who may in fact intellectually minded, had sustained the effect effectively. But they were cautiously, very suspicious, and also proportionately pessimistically about everything, but failed to realized that, the UN principles were totally against their will due to their condition is well.
Now, in order to proceed Haiti rebuilding issue, Haitian people may need to understanding that UN can only works with what seems to be walk to work where CEO from UN can only dealing within DURATION TIME which I think clearly reflected the “ (PM to PM), Premier Minister versed Project Management” issue from the get go. Now, it seems to me that, all the Gymnastic among one and others would not give them any visibility in order to comprehending what it mean by attempted to drinking a glass of water into the zero gravity. Or trying to accessing the oxygen under water, when Science of Chemistry and Politic ( PolitiChemistry) had string for the benefit of common good. We may let the phenomenon due its moment simply as it can be. (Jean. ,& Moise, 2011).